Am I Getting Faster Over Time?
September 26th, 2021Last winter, I published Temperature and Speed, which looked at the correlation between my 30-meter fly times and the ambient temperature. Since then, I’ve gathered a lot more data: I have 49 Freelap-timed fly workouts and 245 reps across 11 months. I’ve also collected other metrics to help answer some questions I’ve had about speed:
Did I get faster?
There’s a relatively significant negative trend line between time of the year and rep—it sure looks like I got faster, at least at 30-meter flies, over the past year. This definitely wasn’t clear in my day-to-day workouts: my per-workout graph looks really spiky:
The lesson here is to not read too much into individual reps and workouts—zooming out onto the overall trend is better.